Ukraine claims Russian civil aviation ‘on the brink of collapse’

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Andrey Kalmykov CEO of Pobeda Airlines
Andrey Kalmykov CEO of Pobeda Airlines

Ukrainian sources claim that three accidents occurred on flights operated by Russia’s Pobeda Airlines in just six hours due to lack of certified maintenance.

The incidents included a fire in the main landing gear, a failure of the on-board inertial system, and a smell of burnt wiring in the toilet.

The Russian Ministry of Transport claims that airplane flight safety in Russia meets international standards but the country received a red flag in a flight safety audit by the International Civil Aviation Organisation.

Defence Intelligence of Ukraine claims that Russian civil aviation is “on the verge of collapse,” with a significant increase in accidents and a lack of proper maintenance and spare parts, citing what they claim is the results a cyber operation against Rosaviation that enabled them to obtain classified documents from the Russian Ministry of Transport. The Ukrainian claims include:

  • The number of aircraft malfunctions in Russia tripled in the first 9 months of 2023 compared to the same period in 2022.
  • In January 2023, 185 air accidents occurred in Russian civil aviation, with the regional Sukhoi Superjet having the highest number of incidents.
  • Russian aviation is particularly vulnerable in areas such as engines, landing gear, hydraulic systems, flaps, and software.
  • Russia faces challenges in maintaining high-flying aircraft, leading to attempts to outsource maintenance to Iran without proper certification.
  • Approximately 70pc of Russia’s foreign-made civilian aircraft have undergone uncertified repairs using off-brand spare parts.
  • “Aviation cannibalism” has become prevalent in Russia, with over 35pc of the aircraft being dismantled to repair others.
  • The lack of spare parts has affected the ability of Soviet An-2 aircraft to fly, as their Polish-made engines are no longer available due to sanctions.
  • In January 2023, Airbus aircraft in Russia experienced 19 different malfunctions, including 17 cases of smoke in Aeroflot planes.
  • Among the Boeing aircraft used in Russia, 33 technical failures in various systems were recorded.
  • 1 in 7 Brazilian Embraer aircraft in Russia failed to meet the conditions of Russian operations.
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