t the Changi Aviation Summit 2026, held ahead of the Singapore Airshow in February 2026, aviation leaders expressed cautious optimism alongside significant concerns regarding a potential, albeit mild, downturn driven by supply chain failures, geopolitical, and structural headwinds
While 2026 is projected to be a year of record profit, industry leaders warned that growth is slowing and being undercut by “weaponized” supply chain disruptions, particularly impacting aircraft deliveries. . Here are the key takeaways:
- US FAA is lobbying for speedier certification of US built aircraft by aviation agencies
- Global passenger traffic is forecast to grow by 4.9pc in 2026, with cargo up by 2.4pc, led strongly by the Asia-Pacific region at around 7.3pc for passengers.
- The Asia-Pacific region continues to drive the strongest growth in both passenger and cargo traffic, highlighting its central role in the industry’s future.
- Profitability remains challenging, with net margins staying thin at approximately 3.9pc and net profit per passenger around USD 7.9.
- Supply chain disruptions and delivery delays continue to impact the sector significantly, requiring greater resilience and collaboration.
- Geopolitical tensions and “weaponisation” of supply chains pose risks to certification, trade, and overall growth in aviation.
- A strong reaffirmation of commitment to net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, with emphasis on coordinated global action and transformation.
- ICAO’s Long-Term Strategic Plan for 2050 signals major transformations for safer, more sustainable, and competitive air transport.
- Focus on reimagining air travel through technology, capacity enhancements, and improved passenger experiences.
- Need to redesign connectivity, networks, and business models to build a more robust aviation ecosystem.
- Importance of partnerships, innovation, and sustainability initiatives (including sustainable fuels and new aircraft systems) to navigate a disruptive world.
- Emphasis on global cooperation to ensure safety, competitiveness, and environmental progress amid rapid growth projections.



